House District 86 — John Smithee

Executive narrative

Childcare Supply Pressure is above the Texas House median (2.13 vs 1.53). Who the Formula Does Not Count is below the Texas House median (14.0% vs 20.1%). Nighttime Schedule Coverage is below the Texas House median (0.4% vs 2.5%). Early-Shift Workforce is near the Texas House median (12.4% vs 15.1%).

Childcare demand and supply

- Children under 6 — geographic allocation estimate: 13,600
- Working-parent children under 6: 11,702
- Current qualifying authorized capacity: 5,494
- Childcare Supply Pressure: 2.13
- Who the Formula Does Not Count: 14.0%

Nighttime / workforce-time context

- HHSC nighttime-window operations — geographic allocation estimate: 2.0
- Nighttime Schedule Coverage: 0.4%
- Early-Shift Workforce — workers leaving before 6 a.m.: 12.4%

Workforce geography

- Resident primary jobs — geographic allocation estimate: 78,814
- Workplace primary jobs — geographic allocation estimate: 66,390
- Resident-worker outbound share: 81.1%

Legislative geography

The district uses the governed 2025 ZIP-to-House-district crosswalk. Duplicate ZIP×district relationships use MAX(area_ratio), never SUM(area_ratio). Split ZIPs are preserved. Additive ZIP values are allocated by area_ratio and summed; district ratios are recomputed from the corrected components.

ZIP/ZCTA desert classification is direct Texas-compatible evidence. House district ratios are legislative context estimates.